Friday, November 9, 2007

Don't Believe the Hackett Hype

Before we get too engrossed in an analysis of D.J. Hackett, lets all remind ourselves of one crucial fact: Matt Hasselbeck attempted 47 passes last week. That's 12 more than his season average of 35. Let that sink in for a moment and we'll continue...

While I'm happy for fantasy owners who cashed in on his 6-yard TD grab in week 9, I'm not so sure they should faithfully plug him into their lineups every week. After all, Hackett was only targeted 8 times last week (17% of passing plays) while Engram, who is apparently the number 1 receiver in Seattle--that is, until Deion Branch returns--was targeted 21 times. Also, let's not forget that Hackett's performance was only a 12-point outing which, as those of you who read my last blog post should recall, is an average performance by historical standards.


At the beginning of the season Hackett was touted as a breakout candidate based on his membership in the 3rd-year wide receiver club. When the season started, several things occurred that doused the high hopes of fantasy owners. To start, Holmgren remembered that he had agreed to pay Nate Burleson $30 million only a year earlier. To resolve this dissonance, he decided to go with a timeshare at split end. One week later, Hackett suffered a high ankle sprain and disappeared for several weeks.

Currently, Hackett is still embedded in a timeshare at flanker with Burleson (who had 6 targets to Hackett's 8 last week). Given Engram's prominent role in the offense, Hackett's targets are likely to further decrease once Branch returns from an injury. What's more, this guy has never been great. Last year in 12 starts Hackett produced 5 quality starts (1 of which was a "great" performance) and killed fantasy owners 7 times.

While I agree that Hackett shows a lot of promise, I think its foolhardy to plug this guy into your lineup as if he were Braylon Edwards returning from an injury. He hasn't shown us anything yet. Instead, fantasy owners should continue to plug in proven commodities like Brandon Marshall, Shaun McDonald, Bobby Engram, or Chris Chambers until Hackett proves to be more than just a fad.

No comments: